14. Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP)

Try these first

1. 1.

   Define Probable Maximum Precipitation.

   Hint

   Think about what maximum rainfall means in terms of safety.

2. 2.

   Name a factor that impacts PMP.

   Hint

   What has to do with how much rain the atmosphere can hold?

3. 3.

   What does PMP stand for?

   • Potential Maximum Precipitation
   • Probable Maximum Precipitation
   • Perfect Maximum Precipitation

   Hint

   Focus on the word 'Probable'.

4. 4.

   True or False: PMP is solely based on historical precipitation data.

   • True
   • False

   Hint

   Consider what factors are added to historical data.

5. 5.

   Given an area with historical precipitation data showing an increase due to climate change, explain how this may influence the PMP estimates for this region.

   Hint

   Consider the relationship between temperature and moisture capacity.

6. 6.

   Evaluate the effectiveness of the Numerical Weather Modeling method versus the Statistical Method in estimating PMP for a newly developed region without historical data.

   Hint

   Which method doesn't need historical data to work?