Unit 6: Probability & Chance: Quantifying Uncertainty

Probability quantifies uncertainty, enabling informed predictions and decision-making in various contexts. The chapter covers theoretical probability based on logical reasoning, experimental probability derived from actual experiments, and independent events, along with their relationships using Venn diagrams. By understanding these concepts, learners can apply mathematical principles to evaluate the likelihood of various outcomes effectively.

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Sections

  • 6

    Probability & Chance: Quantifying Uncertainty

    This section explores the fundamentals of probability and how it helps us quantify uncertainty in decision-making.

  • 1

    Theoretical Probability: What Should Happen?

    This section introduces theoretical probability, emphasizing its role in quantifying uncertainty and predicting outcomes based on logical reasoning.

  • 1.1

    Calculating Probability Of Simple Events

    This section introduces the concept of calculating the probability of simple events using theoretical approaches, explaining how to determine the chances of outcomes happening in fair scenarios through mathematical formulas.

  • 1.2

    Understanding The Probability Scale (From 0 To 1)

    This section introduces the concept of the probability scale, explaining how probabilities range from 0 to 1 and the implications of different values.

  • 2

    Experimental Probability: What Actually Happened?

    This section covers experimental probability, focusing on real-world results from conducting experiments.

  • 2.1

    Conducting Experiments And Calculating Experimental Probability

    This section focuses on understanding experimental probability through real-world experiments and calculating the chances of events based on actual results.

  • 3

    Comparing Theoretical And Experimental Probability

    This section explores the relationship between theoretical and experimental probability, highlighting how they compare and relate through the Law of Large Numbers.

  • 4

    Probability Of Independent Events: Multiple Choices, Multiple Outcomes

    This section introduces the concept of independent events in probability, explaining how the outcome of one event does not impact another and providing methods to calculate their probabilities.

  • 4.1

    Using Tree Diagrams Or Lists To Find Outcomes And Probabilities

    This section introduces tree diagrams and lists as effective tools for visualizing and organizing all possible outcomes of compound events, crucial for calculating probabilities.

  • 5

    Venn Diagrams For Simple Events

    Venn diagrams are visual tools that depict relationships between different events, illustrating overlaps and distinctions among sets of outcomes.

  • 5.1

    Constructing And Interpreting Venn Diagrams

    Venn diagrams provide a visual representation of the relationships between different sets of outcomes, illustrating how events can overlap or remain separate.

Class Notes

Memorization

What we have learnt

  • Probability allows quantify...
  • Theoretical probability is ...
  • Experimental probability is...

Final Test

Revision Tests

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