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Today, we're delving into hazard and vulnerability assessments. Why do we think they are crucial in managing risks, especially regarding natural disasters like floods?
I think they help organizations and governments prepare better, right?
That's correct! Hazard assessments allow us to identify risks and plan accordingly. Now, what do you think vulnerability assessments add to that?
Maybe they help us understand which communities or assets are at greater risk?
Exactly! They help us highlight which groups might need additional support. A good acronym to remember here is 'HVA': Hazards, Vulnerabilities, and Assessment.
Got it! Like a quick guide to what to focus on.
Correct! And by the end of our sessions, you should be able to explain both assessments thoroughly. Let's move on!
Let's talk about flood risk assessment techniques. What do you think are the main components of these assessments?
Aren't they mostly about measuring water levels and impacts?
Great point! We mostly focus on quantitative aspects like depth and damage. But could we also consider qualitative factors?
Like the loss of cultural heritage or community displacement?
Exactly! It's crucial to recognize both monetary and non-monetary impacts. Remember, not all losses can be quantified.
So it's both data like building damage and the values attached to our history?
You got it! Understanding this helps us manage these risks effectively!
How do cultural narratives influence our understanding of flood risk?
They help us connect with communities and understand their values.
That’s right! It's important as we assess risk to include various community perspectives. What about past experiences?
They shape how communities respond and prepare for risks!
Exactly! Previous experiences can significantly influence community risk perceptions. To help remember this, think 'PERCEPTION'—Past Experience Reflects Community Engagement To Improve Outcomes Naturally.
That's a useful acronym!
Now, why do you think it’s important to integrate scientific and social approaches in hazard assessments?
Because we need a full picture! Just numbers don't tell the whole story.
Exactly! It's about creating a comprehensive understanding. A good mnemonic to remember is 'SOCIAL': Scientific Observations Combined with Insights from Local Awareness.
That's really helpful!
Great to hear! Now, let’s see how this ties in with Ayutthaya’s flood management efforts.
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It highlights the history of Ayutthaya as a cultural site, its establishment as a capital due to an outbreak, and the impact of disasters on cultural heritage. The uniqueness of flood risk assessment, focusing on both quantitative and qualitative measures, including human and cultural aspects, is explored in detail.
This section explores the crucial role of hazard and vulnerability assessments in understanding and managing risks associated with natural disasters, with a focus on flood risk assessment (FRA) pertinent to Ayutthaya, Thailand's historical city. Established in 1351 by King U Thong amidst a smallpox outbreak, Ayutthaya represents a significant cultural heritage site, recognized for its outstanding universal value (OUV) as a UNESCO World Heritage site.
The authors Zoran Vojinnovic, Michael Hammond, and others have contributed to documenting how traditional flood risk assessment techniques focus predominantly on quantitative data, such as property damage and financial implications, which often neglects the intangible losses associated with culture and heritage. They introduce the evaluation of physical vulnerability through hydrological modeling, demonstrating the process of rainfall conversion into runoff. This includes administering 1D and 2D modeling techniques to investigate how floodwater propagates through urban environments.
In the broader specter of risk, the section illustrates how vulnerabilities aren't merely quantified through datasheets but are associated with cultural indicators, human loss, and community perceptions of risk. Understanding hazard perception and its influence on behavior becomes paramount in flood risk planning and management. Thus, the section sets the stage for integrating scientific approaches with social perceptions, reflecting a comprehensive view of disaster management for cultural heritage sites.
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First they talk about what is a flood risk assessment you know because that is FRA, we call it as flood risk assessment that is a very basic key tool as a traditional approach in the traditional approach to understand and managing the flood risk. So and if you look at FRA techniques much of the work has been mostly focused on the quantitative aspects or the target based on how much has been impacted or the cause of them.
Flood Risk Assessment (FRA) is a fundamental method used to evaluate flood risks. It primarily concentrates on calculating numerical data, such as the financial cost of flood damage or the expected impact on properties and businesses. The traditional FRA methodologies tend to focus primarily on measurable, quantitative factors, such as the volume of floodwaters and the resultant property damage. This typically involves using historical data to predict future flood scenarios.
Imagine trying to assess the damage caused by a car accident only by looking at the repair bills. This approach gives you some information, but it overlooks the emotional distress of the individuals involved, the loss of time spent recovering, or the overall disruption to daily life. Similarly, while FRA provides valuable data on financial impacts, it fails to capture the broader effects of flooding on culture and community.
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And when it talks about these quantifiable impacts, do not reflect the entire effects of flooding you know that like, for instance, there is not only about the monetary aspects, there is a physical aspect, and there is also to do with the non-monetary aspects of the intangible aspects of it. So this is where the loss and life, loss of cultural heritage which has been often neglected in the FRA tools.
Traditional FRA techniques often focus too much on quantifiable impacts such as financial costs and physical damage. However, this narrow perspective neglects significant non-monetary impacts, such as loss of life, social disruption, and the destruction of cultural heritage. Such intangible impacts can be just as devastating to communities but are harder to measure and quantify, which is a major flaw in many traditional FRAs.
Consider a community that loses a historic building in a flood. While the cost of repairs can be calculated, the emotional and historical loss felt by community members may never be truly accounted for. This is akin to losing a piece of family heirloom; the monetary value doesn’t reflect the sentimental value it held.
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So when we say about the hazard assessment of any floods that is where the hydrologist they talk about many hydrological models when it is a 1d model the 2d models and which actually talks about the represent the process by which rainfall is converted into the surface runoff. So you know so how much water volume of water and how much surface runoff is carried out, so this is all about the quantitative aspect of it and the modeling and the simulation aspect of it.
Hazard assessment in the context of floods involves the use of hydrological models to analyze how rainfall translates into surface runoff, which can lead to flooding. There are one-dimensional (1D) and two-dimensional (2D) models that simulate these processes. The 1D model focuses on a linear representation of flow in a river, whereas the 2D model accounts for the flow spread across a surface area, providing a comprehensive understanding of potential flooding scenarios.
Think of hydrological modeling like predicting the flow of traffic in a city. A 1D model would be akin to looking at traffic on a single road, while a 2D model would provide a city-wide view, showing how different streets interact and how traffic might back up in various situations, illustrating the importance of holistic analysis.
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Whereas in the vulnerability assessment it actually has to it is often assessed using the site-specific indicators or measurements, and this is where the multiple aspects which has to be combined by multi-criteria methods. There is also the qualitative aspects, there is also the financial aspect, there is a livestock, there is livelihood, there is human loss, there is a property damage, there is a infrastructural damage.
Vulnerability assessment focuses on identifying the susceptibility of different communities and environments to flooding. It employs various indicators and site-specific measurements, combining qualitative and quantitative data. This approach evaluates not just the physical but also social and economic layers, including the impact on livelihoods, property, and infrastructure.
Evaluating vulnerability is like assessing how well a community can weather a storm. It's not just about how strong the buildings are but also about how people are prepared, how quickly emergency services can respond, and what resources they have on hand. A city might have sturdy houses but if the residents lack emergency plans and resources, they are still highly vulnerable.
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So there is two approaches when the authors they try to relate with the traditional approach. Where we call about R=risk=hazard when vulnerability adds on to it that is where the risk component comes to it and this is the risk perception approach how people how the communities percept this approach you know the risk.
Risk perception in the context of flooding involves understanding how individuals and communities understand and react to risks. Traditionally, risk is defined in relation to hazards, but integrating vulnerability into this equation offers a broader understanding of risk. Factors like community knowledge, beliefs, and past experiences shape how risk is perceived.
Imagine a person who has experienced a flood before; they might see the signs of an impending flood more keenly than someone who has never faced such an event. This experience shapes their perception of risk, much like someone who has regularly driven in rain will understand how to handle a car in a slippery condition better than a novice driver would.
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Key Concepts
Flood Risk Assessment: A method to understand both quantitative and qualitative impacts of floods.
Cultural Vulnerability: The susceptibility of cultural heritage to damage during disasters.
Hydrological Models: Tools used to predict water flow and assess flood risk.
Skinny vs. Fat Figures: Metaphor describing the difference in qualitative vs quantitative damages.
See how the concepts apply in real-world scenarios to understand their practical implications.
Using hydrological modeling to predict flood patterns in Ayutthaya.
Evaluating the vulnerability of cultural heritage sites against flood risks and historical precedents.
Use mnemonics, acronyms, or visual cues to help remember key information more easily.
If flood risks cause us strife, assess the loss of cultural life.
Imagine an ancient city, rich in history, suffering from floods – how do we save its beauty while measuring its damage?
PERCEPTION - Past Experiences Reflect Community Engagement To Improve Outcomes Naturally.
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Review the Definitions for terms.
Term: Flood Risk Assessment (FRA)
Definition:
A key tool for understanding and managing flood risks, focusing on both quantitative and qualitative aspects.
Term: Cultural Heritage
Definition:
The legacy of physical artifacts and intangible attributes inherited from past generations.
Term: Hydrological Model
Definition:
A representation used to simulate the behavior of water in the hydrological cycle.
Term: Vulnerability Assessment
Definition:
An evaluation of a community’s or area’s susceptibility to harm from hazards.
Term: Hazard Assessment
Definition:
An evaluation of potential natural hazards and their possible impacts.