Seasonality and Trends - 3.4 | 11. External Variables and Vulnerability | Disaster Preparedness &Planning - Vol 2
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Understanding Vulnerability

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0:00
Teacher
Teacher

Welcome everyone! Today, we are going to explore the concept of vulnerability. Can anyone tell me what vulnerability means in our context?

Student 1
Student 1

Isn't it about how exposed someone is to risks?

Teacher
Teacher

Exactly! Vulnerability refers to how exposed a person or group is to external shocks, such as natural disasters or economic downturns. What are some examples of these shocks?

Student 2
Student 2

Natural disasters like floods or droughts.

Student 3
Student 3

And health issues like epidemics, right?

Teacher
Teacher

Correct! These shocks can greatly influence an individual's capacity to manage their livelihood. Remember the acronym S.E.E. for 'Shocks, Exposure, Effects' to help you recall these aspects. Now, why do you think understanding exposure is important?

Student 4
Student 4

It helps us see how to support those who are most at risk.

Teacher
Teacher

Spot on! By understanding exposure, we can develop better strategies for support and resilience.

Coping Mechanisms

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Teacher
Teacher

In our previous session, we discussed vulnerability. Now, let's move on to coping mechanisms. What do you think coping means in this context?

Student 1
Student 1

It's how people deal with their challenges!

Teacher
Teacher

Exactly! People cope using various strategies depending on their social and economic resources. How do you think access to resources can affect coping?

Student 2
Student 2

If someone has more resources, they can bounce back better after a shock.

Teacher
Teacher

Exactly! That's why social capital, like networks and trust, is so vital in resilience. Can anyone share how they might apply these concepts to real-life situations?

Student 3
Student 3

Maybe in communities facing drought, support networks can help distribute food.

Teacher
Teacher

That's a great example! Remember, coping mechanisms are influenced by access to resources and the community’s socio-economic dynamics.

Sustainable Livelihood Framework

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0:00
Teacher
Teacher

Now, let's discuss the Sustainable Livelihood Framework. What have you heard about it?

Student 1
Student 1

It focuses on how to make livelihoods more resilient.

Teacher
Teacher

Exactly! This framework emphasizes the need for people to be at the center of our development approach. What do you think makes a livelihood sustainable?

Student 2
Student 2

It should be able to withstand shocks without external help.

Teacher
Teacher

Right! A sustainable livelihood can withstand shocks and doesn't rely solely on outside support. What example can you think of that illustrates this?

Student 3
Student 3

A farming community that grows diverse crops to reduce dependence on a single crop.

Teacher
Teacher

Exactly! That diversity makes them more resilient to price drops or climate change impacts. Remember the concept of resilience in livelihoods!

Impact of Shocks and Trends

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Teacher
Teacher

So far, we’ve discussed vulnerability and coping mechanisms. Now, let’s explore how external factors like shocks and trends impact vulnerability. What are some trends you can think of?

Student 4
Student 4

Population growth is a big one.

Teacher
Teacher

Correct! Population growth can strain resources and increase vulnerability. Can you think of any seasonal trends?

Student 1
Student 1

Like job availability changing with the seasons in agriculture.

Teacher
Teacher

Yes! Seasonal changes can greatly influence employment opportunities and food prices. This is a critical aspect of how we understand vulnerability. Remember to connect these ideas with the context of sustainability in livelihoods.

Student 3
Student 3

So basically, trends and shocks shape how vulnerable we are.

Teacher
Teacher

Exactly! Trends often set the stage for vulnerabilities, and understanding these helps us plan for better resilience.

Introduction & Overview

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Quick Overview

The section discusses the concepts of vulnerability in relation to seasonal changes and external factors that affect people's livelihoods.

Standard

This section explores the double structure of vulnerability, highlighting how external shocks, trends, and seasonal changes impact individuals' capacity to maintain their livelihoods. It emphasizes the importance of understanding exposure and coping mechanisms through various theoretical frameworks.

Detailed

Seasonality and Trends

This section delves into the complexities of vulnerability, defined as the exposure to external shocks, trends, and seasonality that can impact people's livelihoods. Vulnerability is examined through various perspectives, including human ecology, entitlement theory, and political-economic approaches, which highlight issues of inequality and resource access.

Key Concepts:

  • Exposure to Shocks: Vulnerability arises from exposure to various external shocks (natural disasters, health epidemics, economic downturns, civil unrest) which can undermine people's ability to sustain their livelihoods.
  • Trends and Seasonality: Changes in population dynamics, economic conditions, and environmental factors can influence vulnerability. Seasonal shifts in employment opportunities and resource availability further contribute to this context.
  • Frameworks of Understanding: Concepts like the Sustainable Livelihoods Framework emphasize the role of social and human capitals in mitigating vulnerability, advocating for self-sufficient communities as a measure of resilience against shocks.

By understanding these dynamics, we can better grasp how vulnerability is shaped by both environmental and social factors.

Audio Book

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Understanding External Vulnerability

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On the other hand, we have external one which we cannot less control, is an exogenous variable. What are they? External variables is considered in this double structure of vulnerability as exposure. So, exposure to what, some shock or some events like it depends on what kind of shocks, is it natural phenomena or some epidemics or not merely a kind of special exposure but how defenseless like I am for that one.

Detailed Explanation

This chunk introduces the concept of external vulnerability, which refers to factors beyond our control that can make individuals or communities vulnerable. It emphasizes that vulnerability can arise from exposure to shocks, such as natural disasters or epidemics, and discusses the idea that one's defenselessness plays a critical role in how affected they may be by these external variables.

Examples & Analogies

Imagine living in a coastal town that frequently faces hurricanes. The townspeople have limited control over the occurrence of hurricanes, which are external shocks. However, those with better preparedness measures (like stronger infrastructure) are less defenseless against such natural phenomena.

Components of the Double Structure of Vulnerability

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So, double structure of vulnerability, two components; one is the exposure one and this exposure one according to Bohle that we can understand this exposure context from 3 different dimensions. One is human ecological perspective, population dynamics, capacity to manage the environment, population growth, and how human ecology is looking at population growth and the capacity to manage the environment. And also the entitlement theory, the capacity theory and that the people have for control and to get to secure the means of their economic needs. And also the political-economic approach like the question of inequalities or disparities of assets, the power structures.

Detailed Explanation

This chunk details the double structure of vulnerability, consisting of two main components: exposure and the underlying societal factors that influence this exposure. Bohle's framework suggests we can analyze vulnerability through three perspectives: human ecological perspectives (focusing on population dynamics and environmental management), entitlement (the ability to secure economic resources), and political-economic factors (such as inequality and power dynamics).

Examples & Analogies

Consider a small village that is experiencing increased floods due to climate change (the exposure). The villagers crucially depend on their water management systems and local governance (human ecological perspective) to mitigate the impact of these floods. If the governmental support is lacking and there are societal inequalities (political-economic approach), their vulnerability to floods increases.

Coping Mechanisms and Resources

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Well to understand people's coping, we can also borrow the ideas from crisis and conflict kind of studies, who have the access to assets and resources and how it matter of conflict between individuals and groups or maybe sometimes action theory approaches, how people act, react frequently as a result of social-economic and governmental constraints and model access to assets like a mitigation of vulnerability through access.

Detailed Explanation

This chunk discusses how understanding people's coping mechanisms can help us analyze vulnerability. It highlights the importance of accessing resources and assets while addressing social conflicts that may arise from disparities. The chunk suggests that theories from crisis and conflict studies can aid in understanding how individuals or groups respond to vulnerabilities based on their access to resources and how structural inequalities can exacerbate these responses.

Examples & Analogies

Think of a community affected by a violent conflict. Some individuals may have access to financial resources and education, allowing them to react and adapt effectively, while others may lack these resources, rendering them more vulnerable during times of crisis. The disparity in resources leads to conflict over limited assets and can increase overall community vulnerability.

Sustainable Livelihood Framework Introduction

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There is another more prominent and very popular conceptual idea of vulnerability is the sustainable livelihood framework. It is not really on vulnerability, but they are one of the pioneering approaches that define and quote the vulnerability and which was now very regularly used in disaster risk and other risk management. So, this idea came originally developed by famous person Robert Chambers and Conway in 1992.

Detailed Explanation

This chunk introduces the sustainable livelihood framework, a significant conceptual tool that, while not solely focused on vulnerability, aids in its understanding within the context of livelihood and development. Developed by Robert Chambers and Conway in 1992, this framework has become essential in disaster risk management, emphasizing the connections between poverty, livelihoods, and vulnerability.

Examples & Analogies

In developing regions, a community relying on agriculture for their livelihood can relate to this framework. If crops fail due to a natural disaster, their ability to recover (vulnerability) can be assessed through the sustainable livelihood framework, which considers their resources, skills, and options for future employment.

Livelihood Components and Sustainability

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Their focus is like one poor people and their livelihood. When they are talking about vulnerability, it did not came from, did not come from the disaster perspective, but they are talking defining poor people and their livelihood in case of development and people at the center of their model. People should be put into the center of the development and vulnerability is considered as a kind of shock or a kind of trend or seasonality that influence the capacity of the people to maintain their livelihood.

Detailed Explanation

This chunk focuses on how the sustainable livelihood framework centers on individuals' livelihoods, especially among the poor. It argues that vulnerability should not exclusively be viewed from a disaster perspective but rather through the lens of how various external factors, such as seasonal changes or economic trends, impact people's ability to sustain their livelihoods.

Examples & Analogies

Consider a farmer who faces fluctuating market prices for their crops. If prices drop significantly, it stresses their livelihood. This is a seasonal trend that directly affects their ability to maintain a sustainable income. Understanding this helps us design better supports for livelihoods rather than just responding to disasters.

Defining Vulnerability Context

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So, vulnerability is directly connected with people's livelihood and their capacity to manage their livelihood basically. And two major components here, one is the sustainability, and livelihood. So, a livelihood becomes sustainable in different conditions or a livelihood should be considered as sustainable. When it is resilient to face any kind of external shocks like natural disasters or epidemics that they can absorb this shock, they can bounce back, they will not finish.

Detailed Explanation

Here, the relationship between vulnerability and livelihoods is explored, emphasizing that a livelihood can be sustainable if it is resilient and can recover from adverse situations. To be sustainable, a livelihood should not rely on external assistance and should withstand shocks, maintaining its core functionality over time.

Examples & Analogies

A good analogy is a rubber band. A sustainable livelihood, like a well-made rubber band, can stretch under pressure (external shocks) but will return to its original shape afterward. This resiliency is a sign of sustainability in the face of difficulties.

Characteristics Defining Vulnerability Context

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So, according to this model, people are actually operating, you know they are working in a context of vulnerability. What is the context of vulnerability? So, vulnerability context is defined with 3 characteristics that people are at vulnerable because shock, trends, and seasonality.

Detailed Explanation

This chunk explains that people's vulnerability can be defined within a context characterized by shocks, trends, and seasonality. Each of these elements contributes to the challenges individuals face in maintaining their livelihoods, leading to heightened vulnerability.

Examples & Analogies

For example, a farmer in a drought-prone region is vulnerable due to shocks (unexpected dry spells), trends (long-term climate changes), and seasonality (specific planting and harvesting times). All these factors must be considered when assessing the farmer's vulnerability.

Types of Shocks Affecting Vulnerability

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So what are the shocks? One is the natural shocks like flood, drought, and cyclone. And health shocks like epidemic like cholera or even dengue let us say, or economic shocks like some financial recessions or maybe death in the family for a household or maybe violence like civil war in case of Syria or in many other countries in case of Sri Lanka when they were in civil war or in case of Bosnia.

Detailed Explanation

This segment identifies the different types of shocks that can contribute to vulnerability. It encompasses natural shocks (like floods and droughts), health shocks (epidemics), economic shocks (financial difficulties), and social disruptions (violence and conflict). Each of these shocks can lead to a decline in individuals’ or communities’ ability to sustain themselves.

Examples & Analogies

For instance, consider a family living in a region prone to flooding. Each time a flood occurs (a natural shock), it disrupts their farming, leading to food shortages and financial strain. Similarly, if they faced a health crisis (health shock), their capacity to recover from the flood is further compromised.

Seasonality and its Impact on Vulnerability

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Another one is the seasonality and seasonal shift in price like the price of the crops of the food for the agricultural labor or the productions because of production is low or high, because of climate change maybe the production is not so high this year. Or maybe the food availability or employment opportunity, how many days I have employment opportunity in a particular season.

Detailed Explanation

This chunk discusses seasonality and how it affects vulnerability through shifts in product prices and employment opportunities. Seasonal changes can lead to fluctuations in crop yields and market prices, which in turn impact a person's capacity to maintain their livelihood. Employment may also be seasonal, limiting available work during specific times of the year.

Examples & Analogies

Imagine a town where people work in agriculture. During harvest season, they might find plenty of jobs and good wages. However, as seasonality changes and the harvest ends, job opportunities disappear, leaving many without income and making them vulnerable until the next season starts.

Definitions & Key Concepts

Learn essential terms and foundational ideas that form the basis of the topic.

Key Concepts

  • Exposure to Shocks: Vulnerability arises from exposure to various external shocks (natural disasters, health epidemics, economic downturns, civil unrest) which can undermine people's ability to sustain their livelihoods.

  • Trends and Seasonality: Changes in population dynamics, economic conditions, and environmental factors can influence vulnerability. Seasonal shifts in employment opportunities and resource availability further contribute to this context.

  • Frameworks of Understanding: Concepts like the Sustainable Livelihoods Framework emphasize the role of social and human capitals in mitigating vulnerability, advocating for self-sufficient communities as a measure of resilience against shocks.

  • By understanding these dynamics, we can better grasp how vulnerability is shaped by both environmental and social factors.

Examples & Real-Life Applications

See how the concepts apply in real-world scenarios to understand their practical implications.

Examples

  • An agricultural community that grows multiple crops to ensure food security despite drought conditions.

  • A family that has diversified their income sources to reduce dependence on a single economic activity, like farming.

Memory Aids

Use mnemonics, acronyms, or visual cues to help remember key information more easily.

🎵 Rhymes Time

  • Vulnerable folks need strong nets, to cope with shocks and all their threats.

📖 Fascinating Stories

  • Think of a farmer named Sam, who grows corn, beans, and jam. When storms hit, he doesn’t despair, his diverse crops are always there.

🧠 Other Memory Gems

  • Resilience requires 'CAPS': Capacity, Assets, People, and Support.

🎯 Super Acronyms

Remember 'V.S.T.' for Vulnerability, Shocks, Trends.

Flash Cards

Review key concepts with flashcards.

Glossary of Terms

Review the Definitions for terms.

  • Term: Vulnerability

    Definition:

    The state of being exposed to the possibility of harm or loss, often influenced by external shocks and trends.

  • Term: Sustainable Livelihood Framework

    Definition:

    A conceptual framework that focuses on the sustainable management of livelihoods to enhance resilience against external shocks.

  • Term: Shock

    Definition:

    An unexpected event that causes significant disruption to individual or community livelihoods, such as natural disasters or economic crises.

  • Term: Social Capital

    Definition:

    The networks, relationships, and trust within a community that facilitate cooperation and support.